This site is used as a homework reference in:
Stoughton High School (Pat Schneider's economics class)
|
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The ULTIMATE Rent vs. Buy calculatorWhich is better, renting or buying?Results do not yet take into account the new changes to the tax code. I'll update it when I can find the time. "When I saw [this calculator], I was immediately jealous.... The author is certainly right - his calculator is far more complex and accurate than anything else that I have seen. I highly recommend that you use it." -- The Legal Dollar "The Michael Bluejay calculator that I discussed in my previous article will tell you which way is better for your particular situation. I personally find it to be a good calculator and I will urge you to try it i.e. if you haven't." -- Joel D. Ramphoi of The Botswana Gazette and Market Risk Manager at Stanbic Bank Botswana "It's the best, most customizable calc I've seen on the topic." -- Digg.com reader "Probably the best and most complete renting vs. buying calculator I've seen." -- TheAmateurFinancier.com "If you are trying to decide if you want to rent or buy, [Bluejay's] calculator may be the best tool I've found for that." -- Martha O'Hayer, realtor with Frank Howard Allen Realtors This calculator is used in the IT1020 class at Central New Mexico Community College taught by Denise Weaver Ross. Introduction to the Renting vs. Buying CalculatorIt's almost always better to buy a home than to rent. Only when at least one of the following applies is it probably better to rent:
Everyone's situation is different, and that's what this calculator is for: It'll give you an answer for your specific situation. Here's a very handy rule of thumb I came up with: Just multiply your monthly rent by 240. If you can buy a house for less than that, then buying is usually better in the long-term. There are lots of rent vs. buy calculators on the net but I found most of them confusing, hard to use, or woefully incomplete. So I set out to make the ultimate rent-vs.-buy calculator, which would be easy to understand, easy to use, have every field explicitly defined, and provide both a really useful summary as well as detailed year-by-year data. Here's why I think this calculator is better than the rest:
There's no other calculator on the net that does all this. I'm offering a cash prize of $100 to anyone who finds a calculation error of more than $1000 in the Results Summary using the default values (excluding: rounding errors/differences, an alternate way of estimating some figure which necessarily has to be estimated rather than calculated exactly, and differing tax results based on changes to the tax code, since it's always changing).) Remember, any calculator is only as good as the assumptions. If you put bad data in, you'll get bad data out. One of the biggest factors in whether it's better to buy or rent is the appreciation rate: A small change in the appreciation rate means a big difference in the bottom line. Unfortunately you (and I) can't predict future appreciation rates, so the answer we get from any calculator doesn't come with any degree of certainty about what's actually going to happen. Still, it's worth knowing whether buying looks much better or much worse than renting, given reasonable assumptions. Mega Data Table! (detailed results of Rent vs. Buy)Light gray columns are figures for that year. Dark gray columns are running totals. All fields are explained in detail below the table. (Google picks the ads, not me.)
Explanation and DiscussionIt's usually better to buy than to rent, but not in every case, and usually not right away. It usually takes at least a few years for buying to become a better deal than renting. That's because there are some big up-front costs when buying, and your monthly payments from buying are generally higher. However, those payments are building equity in your home -- you're "keeping" some of what you're paying. Also, while you're making your payments, your home generally appreciates in value. After some number of years the equity you've paid into your home plus the appreciation will usually overcome the extra money you had to pay to get into the home. That's what this calculator tells you. Any calculator is only as good as the assumptions. Probably the biggest assumption in this calculator is the appreciation rate. If your home appreciates faster than the value listed in the calculator, buying will be a much better deal than the calculator shows. If your appreciation is less than what you input, buying won't be as good as the results say, and could even be worse than renting. Another assumption is that if you rented, each year you'd invest the money you save by renting. If you don't actually do this, or if your rate of return is different than what you feed the calculator, the results won't be accurate. Also remember that "better" and "worse" are subjective terms. If it costs $25,000 more over 30 years to buy a home rather than to rent, you still might consider buying to be a "better" deal because it's worth the small difference in cost (less than $1000 a year) for the pride and comfort of owning your own home. The calculator simply reports results based on some assumptions; it doesn't tell you what you should do. Only you can make that decision. There's built-in help for most of the items in the calculator. Just point to any field name and a little box will come up to explain it in more detail. Below I'll cover just the things that aren't included in the help, or which bear repeating. Since some readers have complained that there's not a
field for Renter's Insurance, I'll point out here what I
thought would be obvious: If you have (or will
buy) renter's insurance, just add the amount to your rent, and
enter that as your total rent. Simple. The most important part of the calculator is the blue "Results" section. This tells you whether buying or renting is the better deal. The results are after a certain year. The default is the same number of years as the mortgage. But you can tell the calculator to give you results for a longer period of time, by changing the "Show results after year #" box. For example, if you get a 30-year loan, you could tell the calculator to compare buying vs. renting after year 40. Anyway, let's take the results in the Results summary table line-by-line. Cash Spent. This is how much it cost you to either buy your home or to rent. Since we're comparing how much you paid in each case, the lower the number, the better. (A lower number means you spent less.) For buying, the Cash Spent includes your down payment, your monthly payments, PMI, taxes, insurance, maintenance, and any other expenses like condo/association fees or extra utilities you're paying for because your house is larger than your apartment. For renting, it includes just rent. You'll almost always pay more to buy a home than to rent. What makes buying a better deal is that you build equity in your home. Since the rent-vs-buy calculation is sometimes misunderstood, here's some more detail. There are two ways to run the numbers: by comparing how much you're out for renting vs. buying (which is the way I do it), or by seeing how much you built (which is not how I do it, but the results are the same). Let's look at each way, comparing the results for year 1 using the current defaults. (The values below came from Year 1 in the Mega Data Table. In the future I might update the defaults and forget to update this section, but it should still be easy to follow). Whichever method we use, the key to doing an apples to apples comparison is to make sure that we're not counting principal on one side but not the other. We do this on the Renting side by never considering principal at all. We do it on the Buying side by counting the principal (equity) we paid in, but then subtracting it out again. Anyway, here are the two methods.
On the Buying side, some of our cash out was for the down payment, and some was for the principal portion of our loan payments. We then subtract out that principal in the "Offset" line, so there's no net principal on the Buying side. For the Renting side, we simply never considered principal at all. For our Amount Spent, we could have added in the principal we invested, but then we'd just have to subtract it out again, so it's easier to just not list it in the first place. Now let's look at the method of looking at how much we built. This time we'll include the principal on the Rent side, because when we think about what we've got, we tend to think of principal. But ultimately it doesn't matter because we just subtract it out again, because we're not counting principal on the Buy side, so we need to zero it out on the Rent side also.
Mega Data Table results explainedThis table shows detailed results for 19 separate
variables, year-by-year. And for the most part it's
unnecessary. Most people can get what they need from the blue
"Results" summary box
in the calculator. But for those who want extra data,
it's all here. I'll explain about that data now. First, understand the difference between current year and total values. That is, some of the cells report a value only for that year while other cells report a total for the current year plus all previous years. For example, the "Pmts." column is the amount of payments that have been made for a given year. But the "Paid Equity" column shows all the paid equity that's been made to date. To make this distinction clearer, the columns which are totals-to-date have headers shaded in a darker gray. YearsA couple of the things this calculator gives you that others don't are a complete listing of all variables for every single year, plus the ability to look far into the future. Here you always get a full 40 years' worth of data.
|
Deductions | Extra deductions realized by buying |
---|---|
9000 Standard Deduction 4000 Housing Deductions 4000 Other Deductions |
$0. The amount of deductions we can take by buying the house isn't greater than the standard deduction that we were already allowed to take. |
9000 Standard Deduction 4000 Housing Deductions 6000 Other Deductions |
$1000. By buying the house our total deductions are now $10,000, which is $1000 more than the standard deduction of $9000. So our benefit vs. the standard deduction that we could have taken had we not bought the house is $1000. |
9000 Standard Deduction 4000 Housing Deductions 20,000 Other Deductions |
$4000. Even before buying the house, our deductions were greater than the standard deduction. By buying the house, we realize an extra $4000 in housing deductions. So our tax benefit is an extra $4000 in deductions. |
This is how much money you spent towards your home in a given year. It includes your mortgage payments, PMI (if any), taxes, insurance, and maintenance. In year 1 it also includes your down payment, and initial maintenance and closing costs if not rolled into the mortgage (which might not be obvious). But notice that year 2 costs less than year 1. That's because in year 2 there's no down payment or initial maintenance. Then the cost starts rising in future years with inflation. Then when your mortgage is paid off the Cash out per year plummets, since there's no more mortgage payment. This is year 16 or 31 for 15- and 30-year mortgages respectively.But something else special happens well before that in most cases: The cash you spend for buying each year becomes less than the cost of renting! When this happens I highlight those cells in a darker green. Buying becomes a better deal even before you consider all the equity you have in the home. You actually spend less to buy than to rent! So much for the idea of renting and "investing the difference" that some people favor. When buying becomes cheaper than renting, there is no difference to invest.
This is the running balance of how much you've spent on your house to date. It's the sum of the Cash Out column for all years up to that point. You can compare this to the "Total Rent" column to see the running balance of rent paid. But this doesn't tell you whether buying or renting is a better deal, because that doesn't take into account the equity you've built in your home. That's answered in the last column, Rent vs. Buy. (Negative values mean renting is better, positive values mean buying is better.)
All three columns are running balances (i.e., the balance to date), not the amounts for just the year listed. Note that the House Value amount is reduced by any taxes and closing costs you'd pay on the sale.Equity is the portion of your home that you own (vs. the outstanding amount of the mortgage). There are two kinds of equity. The first is Paid Equity, which comes from your down payment plus the principal portion of all the loan payments you made. Once you've made all your loan payments, your Paid Equity will equal the original purchase price of the home.
The other kind of equity is Appreciation, which is amount your house increases in value just by sitting there. Your house gets more valuable automatically as time passes, kind of like inflation. You can set the rate of appreciation in the calculator, but the default value of 3.5% is probably the most accurate for long-term use. (Many people think that homes appreciation faster than the general rate of inflation, but I don't think that's true, as I explain in my article about appreciation. I strongly suggest you not set the appreciation rate higher than the inflation rate.) Anyway, the point of appreciation is that it offsets the amount it costs you to buy your home.
You might think, "What good is equity? The money is locked in the house. I can't eat my home." Ah, but the equity does benefit you. Here are just two examples of how. First, once your home is paid off, your equity has earned you the right to stop making any more mortgage payments. No more writing a check to the bank every month. Second, any time after you turn 62 you can get a Reverse Mortgage, which lets you cash out the value of your house (either as a lump-sum or a monthly amount), while still living in the house. In fact, as long as you live in the house, you don't have to pay the Reverse Mortgage back! That will be up to your heirs, but it will be easy for them to do so, since they can just
sell the house to get the money.
The House Value (net) is the original price, plus appreciation, less any capital gains tax on the sale, less any closing costs paid on the sale. (If you believe you can sell your house at a lower commission rate or with no commission at all, you can change the "Commission/Closing Costs on sale" rate in the calculator.)
In most cases you won't pay any taxes if and when you sell. (And again, you can turn off the tax calculation by unchecking "Estimate capital gains tax on sale".) Most homebuyers won't pay any tax, since they either won't sell their home, or the home didn't appreciate enough to be subject to tax—lots of the gain simply isn't subject to tax. Single filers get the first $250,000 of gain free, and married filing jointly get the first $500,000 of gain free. (figures current as of 2015) The calculator assumes that these amounts increase with the rate of expenses inflation.
This kind of investment contrasts with investing the cash saved by renting as a renter, where you'd have to sell your investment in order to cash in on it, and thus would have to pay taxes, and no part of it would be excluded. When you own a home you can enjoy the value of your investment without selling it, by either continuing to live in it after you've paid off the mortgage (at which point you have no more mortgage payments), and optionally getting a reverse mortgage at any time after age 62, which allows you to extract cash value from your home in either a lump-sum or as monthly payments, and which you won't have to pay back as long as you live in the home. (Your heirs pay back the reverse mortgage loan, but it's easy for them to do so, since they simply just sell the house to get the money.) Next, even if you sell your home, you likely won't owe any taxes, since a huge portion of any gain on the sale is tax-free, as explained above. If you bought a house for $200,000 and sold it for $440,000, you would have profited by $240,000, but you pay no taxes on that. And if you do owe any taxes on a sale, it will be only on the small portion of the gain that's above the exclusion amount, and even then the long-term capital gains tax rate is usually only 15%.
Note that if you rolled the closing costs into the mortgage, then some of the "principal" portion of your mortgage payments goes to pay for those closing costs and doesn't actually build any equity. Therefore the Paid Equity will be a little less than Down Payment + Payment - Interest.
Rent gets more expensive each year with inflation, and the calculator accounts for that. To change the default inflation rate, click the Deluxe tab.The Total Rent column is the running balance -- it's the sum of all rent paid up until that point.
Some people take the money saved by renting instead of buying and invest it (e.g., into mutual funds). If you're not buying a house, you should certainly invest in something, otherwise you have no investment.The Return on Investment listed is just that -- the return on the investment. That is, it doesn't include the principal of the investment itself. We compare apples to apples for renting vs. buying because on both sides we consider only the return generated and not the principal. We do this on the renting side by listing only the return, and never counting the principal we paid in. We do this on the buying side by figuring the principal we paid in, but then subtracting it out again.
The ROI column is the return of your investment to date (not the value for just that particular year). The amount invested each year is the "Cash Out" for that year minus the Rent paid. The return on investments is set by the "Interest on investments" field in the calculator, with a default of 5.5%. The Investment value shown is after taxes are taken out, according to the "Capital Gains tax rate" field in the calculator, with a default of 15%.
(By the way, for simplicity the calculator assumes that all the savings from renting instead of buying is invested at the beginning of the year, even though the savings actually occurs throughout the year. The difference is negligible and I don't consider this an error for the purposes of claiming the "Find A Bug in the Calculator" prize.)
At long last we can finally start to really compare renting vs. buying. Whew.The "Buying Net" column is how much you're out after considering the value you've built. It's total amount of cash you put out for everything (down payment, mortgage payments, taxes, insurance, maintenance), adding back any tax benefit you got, less the net value of the home (appreciated value, less any commissions and taxes on the sale, less any outstanding loan balance). Since this figure is how much you're "out", the lower the better. Negative values are especially good, because they mean you basically lived for free -- you got more value from your home through appreciation than what you paid out to buy it. This usually happens only when the appreciation rate is at least 1.5 percentage points higher than the general inflation rate.
"Rent Net" is how much you're out after considering the value you've built. It's everything you've spent on rent, minus the value of your investment (after subtracting out taxes you'd owe on the sale). If you're not investing as a renter, your net would be even higher than what's shown here.Since this figure is how much you're "out", the lower the better. Negative values are especially good, because they mean you basically lived for free -- you got more in return from your investments than what you paid out in rent.
At long last, this column shows whether buying or renting is better. Negative values mean renting is a better deal, positive values mean buying is better. Almost all scenarios start off with renting being a better deal (because there are some big upfront costs when you buy a house), but after some number of years buying becomes a better deal. Years in which renting is better are shaded in pink, and years in which buying is better are shaded in green.We get the value by comparing the "Buying Net" with the "Renting Net". That is, we compare how much you're "out" in each case. The smaller the figure, the less you're out, so the side with the lower figure wins. If one side is negative and the other is not, the negative side wins, because that's the side that's lower.
With certain sets of assumptions, we see the curious case in which renting is better at first (pink), then buying becomes better (green), then renting becomes better again (pink).* There's no real mystery here, it's just that it takes time for some variables to catch up to other variables. If you start walking to Chicago, and then an hour later someone else starts on a bicycle from the same point, eventually they're going to pass you, but it'll take a while. Likewise, if two hours later someone starts from the same point on a motorcycle, then eventually they'll pass the bicyclist.
In the case below*, renting is better at first because of the higher costs of buying, including that the interest paid on the loan is high and is essentially "thrown away". By year 15, the amount paid on interest has gone way down, and the buyer is enjoying the fact that their loan payment hasn't gone up, while the renter has suffered from rent inflation every year. So buying becomes a better deal. But here comes the motorcycle! The renter's investment is growing faster than the buyer's, since the return on investment is higher than the appreciation on the house (5.75% vs. 3.5%). So it's only a matter of time before the renter's investment grows larger than the buyer's. For most scenarios, that will never happen in the buyer's lifetime, but in the case below*, it can.
* For example: $200k house, 5% down, 30-year mortgage, 5.5% interest, 3.5% appreciation, 6.5% costs of sale, 25% marginal tax bracket, $1000 rent, 7% return on investments.
(I haven't updated this section since 2009; might be inaccurate now.)
|
MichaelBluejay .com |
NY Times | Yahoo | Motley Fool | Smart Money |
Most important features |
|||||
Includes sample values so you can see a comparison right away | |||||
Automatically calculates PMI, closing costs, taxes & insurance, and maintenance based on the purchase price |
|
|
|
|
|
Automatically recalculates when you change any value |
|
|
|
|
|
All input and results are shown the same page |
|
|
|
|
|
Shows you the results year-by-year (not just at the end of the mortgage term) |
|
|
|
|
|
Shows the value for 18 separate variables, for every single year |
|
|
|
|
|
Shows results for 40 years into the future |
|
|
|
|
|
Built-in help for every input field |
|
|
|
|
|
Entering values |
|||||
Sample values already filled in for all necessary fields |
|
|
|
|
|
Sample values are realistic |
|
|
|
|
|
Can see all variables at the same time (i.e., when you're viewing something, it doesn't hide something else) |
|
|
|
|
|
Allows you to specify the % down payment (vs. a raw amount) |
|
|
|
|
|
Allows closing costs to be rolled into mortgage or not |
|
|
|
|
|
Allows closing costs, taxes, insurance, and maintenance to be entered in raw dollars (vs. percent) |
|
|
|
|
|
% sign is on the wrong side of the fields |
|
|
|
|
|
Forces you to decide how long you expect to stay in the home before you can even see any results |
|
|
|
|
|
Too stupid to strip out a $ sign or comma that you might accidentally enter into a field |
|
|
|
|
|
Forces you to explicitly enter a value for every field even if the value could be zero |
|
|
|
|
|
Refuses to accept 0 as a valid entry for fields where that should be okay (e.g., Renter's Insurance) |
|
|
|
|
|
Calculation |
|
|
|
|
|
Automatically recalculates when any value is changed |
|
|
|
|
|
Shows you the down payment amount based on the % down payment |
|
|
|
|
|
Automatically calculates the amount of the loan |
|
|
|
|
|
Estimates closing costs for you |
|
|
|
|
|
Automatically estimates the cost of taxes |
|
|
|
|
|
Automatically estimates the cost of insurance |
|
|
|
|
|
Automatically estimates the cost of maintenance |
|
|
|
|
|
Results |
|
|
|
|
|
Can see all variables and results at the same time |
|
|
|
|
|
Shows rent vs. buy results side-by-side |
|
|
|
|
|
Shows numerical details at end of mortgage automatically after calculating |
|
|
|
|
|
"Shows its work" |
|
|
|
|
|
Results are clear and unambiguous |
|
|
|
|
|
Results are detailed |
|
|
|
|
|
Lets you do another comparison on the same page (i.e., doesn't force you to use the Back button to try another scenario) |
|
|
|
|
|
Completeness |
|
|
|
|
|
Accounts for closing costs |
|
|
|
|
|
Accounts for initial maintenance |
|
|
|
|
|
Shows a table with the values of each of 18 separate variables for every single year |
|
|
|
|
|
Calculates 40 years into the future |
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
|
|
|
|
|
Loads instantly |
|
|
|
|
|
Detailed explanations of each field |
|
|
|
|
|
All text is searchable |
|
|
|
|
|
Rollover help included for each field |
|
|
|
|
|
Other inline help included for each field |
|
|
|
|
|
Inline help is an annoying popup window which you're forced to close when you're done |
|
|
|
|
|
Spawns an annoying popup window to run the calculator |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Renting | Buying | |||
What You Pay For |
(and possibly renter's insurance) |
|
|||
What
You Can Deduct on your Taxes (in the U.S.) (footnote) |
|
* Interest on mortgage, PMI, and property taxes (only
if you itemize on Schedule A instead of taking the
Standard Deduction) |
|||
How you can build an investment |
Take the money you would have spent on a down payment for a house and on high monthly mortgage payments, and invest in something else instead, such as a socially-responsible mutual fund. However, this is rarely as profitable as buying a home. |
Your house is your investment. Part of each monthly payment builds equity in your home. Your house also gets more valuable over time just by sitting there, which is called appreciation. There are three ways you can capitalize on this investment: (1) Sell your home, even before it's paid off, and receive the equity you built. (2) No longer have to make mortgage payments once the loan is paid off. (3) Any time after you're 62, get a reverse mortgage, which pays you most of the equity you've built in cash, either as a lump-sum or as monthly payments. You don't have to repay this as long as you live in your home, your heirs do. (They can either sell the house to pay off the reverse mortgage, or move into the house and start making monthly payments.) |
|||
How you could screw up this investment |
Fail to invest your extra money somewhere else. In that case, you have no investment. |
Possible mistakes include:
|
|||
Pros |
* Simple |
* Pride and satisfaction in owning your own home. |
A side note about the unfairness of
tax breaks: Many first-time home buyers are
excited to discover that they can deduct mortgage interest
from their taxes. While this benefit is very real, it's worth
noting that this tax "break" is in fact a scheme to shift to
lower taxes disproportionately for the rich. There are
two reasons:
Here is a telling passage from Take the Rich off Welfare:
"The National Housing Institute calculates that [the mortgage interest] deduction cost the Treasury slightly more than $58 billion in 1995, and that half that total -- $29 billion -- went to people with incomes over $100,000. (In comparison, the entire 1995 budget for HUD, the Department of Housing and Urban Development, was $26 billion.) ... [M]iddle-class homeowners think they're the ones getting the deal. If you believe that, you're being had. It's a classic case of being tossed a few scraps from the table. If we simply eliminate all the handouts and boondoggles [like this one], our tax rates would drop so far, so fast, that special little deals like these homeowners' loopholes would seem archaic and silly." [pp. 52-56; emphasis added]
Same deal with the fact that you pay no tax on the gain when you sell your home. The wealthy have much more expensive homes, so they're the ones reaping the lion's share of the no-tax-on-the-sale rule. (Actually, rich people do have to pay taxes on gains above $250,000, or $500,000 for married couples, but that's still a LOT of gain that they get tax-free.)
Those who think the above is an indictment on being rich
should read more carefully. Nothing above says that it's
bad for some people to have more money than others (as some of
my critics think I'm saying). The problem is the
mortgage interest deduction is a way for those who have more
to get a tax break at the expense of everyone else. That
simply goes against the basic concept of fairness.
Here's a CNN
editorial which says the same thing.
Thanks to The Legal Dollar for pointing out that property taxes are deductible from federal taxes. The calculator now includes this.
If you liked this site then you might like some of my other sites:
How to Find Cheap Airfare
How to Save Electricity
Slot machines demystified
Entire site ©1999-2023 Michael Bluejay Inc. All information is "use at your own risk" Contact