Michael Bluejay’s
This page tracks who's ahead in the electoral college based on current polling.
Updates 3x/day • Last update: Oct 15, 2024, 16:00 Central
| State | Leader | Margin | Electoral Votes |
| Pennsylvania | Trump | 0.1 | 19 |
| Wisconsin | Harris | 0.3 | 10 |
| Georgia | Trump | 0.5 | 16 |
| Nevada | Trump | 0.6 | 6 |
| Michigan | Trump | 0.7 | 15 |
| Maine Dist. 2 | Trump | 1.0 | 1 |
| North Carolina | Trump | 1.2 | 16 |
| Arizona | Trump | 1.8 | 11 |
| Oregon | Harris | 5.0 | 8 |
| Iowa | Trump | 5.0 | 6 |
| Texas | Trump | 6.0 | 40 |
| Minnesota | Harris | 6.0 | 10 |
| Florida | Trump | 6.0 | 30 |
| Ohio | Trump | 7.2 | 17 |
| Virginia | Harris | 7.6 | 13 |
| New Mexico | Harris | 7.7 | 5 |
| Nebraska Dist. 2 | Harris | 8.3 | 1 |
| New Hampshire | Harris | 9.0 | 4 |
| Alaska | Trump | 9.0 | 3 |
| South Carolina | Trump | 10.0 | 9 |
| Colorado | Harris | 11.0 | 10 |
| Missouri | Trump | 11.5 | 10 |
| Maine | Harris | 13.0 | 2 |
| New York | Harris | 13.5 | 28 |
| Arkansas | Trump | 15.0 | 6 |
| Oklahoma | Trump | 16.0 | 7 |
| Connecticut | Harris | 16.0 | 7 |
| Rhode Island | Harris | 16.5 | 4 |
| Indiana | Trump | 16.5 | 11 |
| Nebraska | Trump | 17.0 | 2 |
| Delaware | Harris | 18.5 | 3 |
| Montana | Trump | 19.0 | 4 |
| Tennessee | Trump | 21.0 | 11 |
| Washington | Harris | 21.0 | 12 |
| California | Harris | 25.0 | 54 |
| North Dakota | Trump | 27.0 | 3 |
| Maine Dist. 1 | Harris | 27.0 | 1 |
| West Virginia | Trump | 27.0 | 4 |
| Massachusetts | Harris | 28.5 | 11 |
| Maryland | Harris | 28.8 | 10 |
| Utah | Trump | 32.0 | 6 |
| Vermont | Harris | 41.0 | 3 |
Not all states are listed, because not all states have polling data.
Data from 270 to Win.